HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS HARGA JUAL DAN HARGA SEWA APARTEMEN DI JABODETABEK

Zainal Zawir Simon, Effendy Zain, Zulihar Zulihar

Abstract


Abstrak

 

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hubungan kausalitas antara harga jual apartemen dan harga sewa apartemen di wilayah Jabodetabek. Data yang dipergunakan adalah data  time series dalam bentuk kuartalan untuk periode 2007:1-2018:3 dan alat analisis yang dipergunakan adalah analisa kausalitas Granger. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa tidak terdapat hubungan kausalitas antara harga jual apartemen dan harga sewa apartemen di wilayah Jabodetabek. Dengan kata lain perubahan harga jual  tidak mempengaruhi harga sewa. Sebaliknya harga sewa juga tidak mempengaruhi harga jual apartemen. Dengan demikian Investor diharapkan dalam melakukan analisis investasinya memasukkan faktor-faktor lain yang dapat mempengaruhi harga jual dan harga sewa untuk apartemen, agar terlepas dari pandangan bahwa harga jual mempengaruhi harga sewa dan sebaliknya.

Kata Kunci : Harga Jual apartemen, Harga Sewa Apartemen, Data Runtut Waktu, Analisa Kausalitas Granger

ABSTRACT

This study aims to determine the causality relationship between the selling price of apartments and apartment rental prices in the Greater Jakarta area. The data used are time series data in quarterly form for the period 2007: 1-2018: 3 and the analysis tool used is the Granger causality analysis. The results showed that there was no causality relationship between apartment selling prices and apartment rental prices in the Greater Jakarta area. In other words, changes in selling prices do not affect rental prices. Conversely the rental price also does not affect the selling price of the apartment. Thus Investors are expected to carry out investment analysis to include other factors that can affect the selling price and rental price for an apartment, so that regardless of the view that the selling price affects the rental price and vice versa.

Keywords : Selling Price of apartments, rental prices apartments, time series data, Granger Causality Analysis


Keywords


Harga Jual apartemen, Harga Sewa Apartemen, Data Runtut Waktu, Analisa Kausalitas Granger

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.33476/jjobs.v1i1.1312

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